Moments Away

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Southwell · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 88y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength18%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C2.7

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-04-11	Aintree	1	5th	1st	+4	9.3
2026-03-15	Chepstow	5	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-01-14	Fairyhouse	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2025-05-26	Ballinrobe	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength100%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/05/2025	2nd	25/1	0%	92%	+0.92
14/01/2026	3rd	14/1	26%	75%	+0.49
15/03/2026	2nd	5/1	74%	86%	+0.12
11/04/2026	5th	80/1	0%	79%	+0.79