Daaris
7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 91
Southwell · 'Smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 27/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |