King Of The Road
7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 109
Southwell · Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 182y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Wetherby | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Wincanton | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Kempton | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Cheltenham | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Ludlow | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 21/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 15/01/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 27/03/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |