6
King Ulanda
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 114
Southwell · Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 182y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Uttoxeter | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Huntingdon | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 92% | -0.03 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 57% | -0.26 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 25% | -0.58 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |