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7

Max Of Stars

6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 112

Southwell · Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 182y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enthusiastic front runner who was successful 3 times over hurdles in 2025, including over C&D (1-1). Typically gave it a good go when 1¼-length second of 3 at Sedgefield latest. Capable of a bold bid off an unchanged mark, though likely faces competition for the lead here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength40%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 26/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 51 · 1m2f42y Std 129 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 51 par26/096OR 513 @ Wetherby 15/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 115 · 2m Gd 164 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 115 par3 @ Wetherby 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 117 · 2m Gd 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 117 par1/113OR 1176 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 58 · 1m4f10y Goo 147 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 58 par3 @ Newton Abbot 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 117 · 2m167y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 117 par3/073OR 1176 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 60 · 1m4f8y Goo 131 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m2f5y Goo 156 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 60 par5/086OR 604 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 115 · 2m167y Goo 165 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 115 par4 @ Sedgefield 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 112 · 2m178y Goo 159 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 112 par9/094OR 112projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Sedgefield42nd2nd0
2026-08-22Newton Abbot44th4th0
2026-08-05Pontefract65th7th−2
2026-07-24Thirsk64th6th−2
2026-07-03Newton Abbot34th3rd+1
2026-06-18Ripon62nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0918/065/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20253rd10/382%71%-0.11
15/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
01/11/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
18/06/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
03/07/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
24/07/20264th7/282%25%-0.57
05/08/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
22/08/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
09/09/20262nd3/184%50%-0.34