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Crack Ops

4yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 108

Southwell · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 88y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced bumper winner. Improved again to open his hurdle account in 3m handicap at Uttoxeter in May, travelling well/jumping better than previously. Takes on some fairly exposed rivals on his return and can go well despite the drop back in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 07/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 1567/1055 @ Ludlow 06/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m7f169y Gd 1546/1151 @ Cheltenham 01/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 2m179y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS1/0114 @ Catterick 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f156y Goo 14924/0244 @ Bangor-on-Dee 31/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m145y Gd 15431/0344 @ Bangor-on-Dee 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 102 · 2m3f123y Gd 150 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 102 par18/044OR 1025 @ Uttoxeter 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 101 · 2m7f70y Gd 154 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 101 par16/055OR 101projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Uttoxeter51st2nd−1
2026-04-18Bangor-on-Dee42nd2nd0
2026-03-31Bangor-on-Dee42nd2nd0
2026-02-24Catterick43rd3rd0
2026-01-01Cheltenham16th2nd+3
2025-11-06Ludlow51st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1024/0216/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20252nd11/142%89%+0.47
06/11/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
01/01/20266th7/163%67%+0.04
24/02/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
31/03/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
18/04/20262nd15/890%83%-0.07
16/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09