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3

Rock Hurley

8yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 103

Southwell · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 88y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Front runner who had the run of things when notching a second Bangor success (23f) in June. Jumped better than often the case when back to form there last time, finishing well-backed second (beaten 2½ lengths) under today's claimer. Leading chance if repeating that form away from his regular course.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 2m3f123y Goo 167 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 97 par24/045OR 974 @ Cartmel 28/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 107 · 2m6f31y Goo 155 · below its mark28/05/2025 · OR 107 par4 @ Sedgefield 24/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 107 · 2m3f188y Sft 155 · below its mark24/11/2025 · OR 107 par24/114OR 1074 @ Carlisle 16/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 105 · 2m1f Sft 161 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 105 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 102 · 2m3f123y Goo 165 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 102 par21/035OR 1024 @ Bangor-on-Dee 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 2m3f123y Gd 158 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 99 · 2m7f32y Goo 167 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 99 par26/065OR 994 @ Uttoxeter 24/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 103 · 2m7f70y Gd 161 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 103 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 102 · 2m3f123y Gd 165 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 102 par8/095OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee52nd3rd−1
2026-07-24Uttoxeter412th12th0
2026-06-26Bangor-on-Dee51st2nd−1
2026-05-23Bangor-on-Dee43rd3rd0
2026-03-21Bangor-on-Dee54th5th−1
2026-02-16Carlisle412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0416/0226/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
28/05/20258th7/282%22%-0.59
24/11/202510th8/158%10%-0.48
16/02/202612th20/10%15%+0.15
21/03/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
23/05/20263rd9/153%75%+0.22
26/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
24/07/202612th10/147%27%-0.21
08/09/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02