Spot On Soph
10yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 104
Southwell · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 88y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Catterick | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Market Rasen | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |