6
Feeling Easy
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |