4
Mobil Memory
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 71
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |