7

Quick Rendezvous
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 64
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 14/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |