7

Quick Rendezvous

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 64

Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 02/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/06/2025 · OR 65 par2/06C5OR 65C5 @ Thistledown 14/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2025 · OR 71 parC8 @ Thistledown 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 65 · 6f 119 · below its mark16/09/2025 · OR 65 par16/09C8OR 65C8 @ Thistledown 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 65 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 65 parC8 @ Thistledown 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 6f 119 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 62 par21/04C8OR 62C8 @ Thistledown 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Thistledown 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 65 par22/07C8OR 65C8 @ Thistledown 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 119 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Thistledown 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 64 par14/09C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-08-19Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-07-22Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-05-12Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-04-21Thistledown?4th4th0
2025-10-03Thistledown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/063/1022/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20255th5/287%20%-0.67
14/07/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
16/09/20253rd9/488%50%-0.38
03/10/20252nd7/282%67%-0.15
21/04/20264th6/168%67%-0.02
12/05/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
22/07/20264th4/179%25%-0.54
19/08/20264th6/168%40%-0.28
14/09/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19