Lamporghini
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Emerald Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |