Quarantino
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |