Gray Tormentor
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 54
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |