2
Hotrod Bobby
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 54
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 06/01/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 21/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 09/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |