Right On The Munny
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 28/05/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |