2
Silent Rule
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 96
Thistledown · Race 7 - Greg Veit Scarlet And Gray Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/11/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/12/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/04/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/05/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 0% | -0.97 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |