4

Silver Kiss

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87

Thistledown · Race 7 - Greg Veit Scarlet And Gray Stakes · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 17/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 11817/06C6C5 @ Thistledown 10/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark10/08/2024 · OR 81 par10/08C5OR 81C5 @ Mahoning Valley 26/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 76 par26/10C5OR 76C5 @ Thistledown 13/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 115 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 85 par13/05C5OR 85C5 @ Thistledown 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 6f 119 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 82 par13/07C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Thistledown?1st2nd−1
2025-05-13Thistledown?1st2nd−1
2024-10-26Mahoning Valley?1st1st0
2024-08-10Thistledown?1st1st0
2024-06-17Thistledown?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0610/0826/1013/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength88%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20241st5/493%100%+0.07
10/08/20241st2/999%100%+0.01
26/10/20241st2/598%100%+0.02
13/05/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
13/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06