3

Gone Cold

3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 85

Vaal · www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 3 runs this year. 46/100, won 13-runner minor event at Turffontein (5.8f, good). Off 138 days. Makes handicap debut. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1325/03C8C0 @ Turffontein 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 12621/03C?C8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13216/05C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Turffontein?1st4th−3
2026-03-21Turffontein?2nd2nd0
2026-03-05Vaal?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0321/0316/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
21/03/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
16/05/20261st4/998%100%+0.02