5
Impressive
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Vaal · www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 73% | -0.15 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |