IvyArcIvyArc
8

Navigatrix

3yo Filly · 8-9

Vaal · www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. Winner here in July. 7/2, third of 10 in handicap at Turffontein (6f, good) 4 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/07C8C6 @ Turffontein 27/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12527/09C6projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Turffontein?3rd4th−1
2026-07-30Vaal?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0727/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -46.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
27/09/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05