2

Sands Of Valhalla

3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 85

Vaal · www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Winner here in May. Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Turffontein (8f, good, 18/10) 19 days ago. Back down in trip. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength32%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13221/04C8C8 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12621/05C8C0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?C8 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12812/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Turffontein?3rd6th−2
2026-07-26Greyville?7th1st+5
2026-05-21Vaal?1st4th−3
2026-04-21Vaal?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0421/0526/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14
21/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/07/20267th33/10%50%+0.50
12/09/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25