2

Sands Of Valhalla
3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 85
Vaal · www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength32%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |