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3

Ada Lovelace

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 35

Vaal · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

One win from 21 Flat runs. Seventh of 8 in handicap (33/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 14 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS28/05C6C7 @ Turffontein 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 27/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS27/06C6C7 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS6/08C7C5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS27/08C7C5 @ Vaal 10/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS17/09C7projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?7th7th+0
2026-09-10Vaal?8th5th+3
2026-08-27Vaal?7th6th+1
2026-08-19Vaal?8th5th+3
2026-08-06Vaal?6th6th+0
2026-07-16Turffontein?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0516/0727/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
07/06/202610th15/261%31%-0.30
27/06/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
16/07/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
06/08/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
19/08/20268th25/10%36%+0.36
27/08/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
10/09/20268th22/10%30%+0.30
17/09/20267th22/10%14%+0.14