2

God's Country
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 55
Vaal · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |