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Nkandla Gold

6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 76

Vaal · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

5-time course winner. 7/2, improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner minor event at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago by 2¼ lengths from Bell of Angelus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turffontein 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS7/06C7C5 @ Turffontein 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS2/07C7C7 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 116 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS21/07C5C7 @ Turffontein 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS19/08C5C5 @ Turffontein 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Vaal 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS10/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Vaal?1st-2th+3
2026-08-29Turffontein?4th1st+3
2026-08-19Vaal?1st-2th+3
2026-08-16Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-07-21Turffontein?3rd0th+3
2026-07-11Turffontein?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0611/0719/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
27/06/20262nd22/10%88%+0.88
02/07/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02
11/07/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
21/07/20263rd11/271%82%+0.11
16/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
19/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
29/08/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
10/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18