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4

Phala Millions

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 39

Vaal · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2025. 14/1, 18¾ lengths tenth of 11 to Nkandla Gold in minor event at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Vaal 28/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS28/10C7C7 @ Vaal 20/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 11/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 4f214y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS11/01C7C7 @ Vaal 24/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/08C7C7 @ Turffontein 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS19/08C5C5 @ Turffontein 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Vaal 10/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS10/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Vaal?10th7th+3
2026-08-29Turffontein?6th3rd+3
2026-08-19Vaal?5th2nd+3
2026-08-16Turffontein?5th5th+0
2026-08-06Vaal?6th6th+0
2026-01-24Vaal?14th13th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1024/0119/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20252nd4/179%92%+0.13
20/12/20254th15/261%73%+0.12
11/01/202612th20/10%31%+0.31
24/01/202614th8/158%13%-0.45
06/08/20266th9/153%0%-0.53
16/08/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
19/08/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
29/08/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
10/09/202610th11/142%10%-0.32