5

Royal Horizon

6yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 58

Vaal · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2025. 40/1, very good third of 8 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turffontein 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f169y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS14/02C7C6 @ Turffontein 14/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 134 · HIGHER CLASS23/04C7C7 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS7/06C7C6 @ Turffontein 29/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS6/08C7C5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS17/09C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?3rd3rd+0
2026-08-19Vaal?11th8th+3
2026-08-06Vaal?5th5th+0
2026-06-29Turffontein?10th9th+1
2026-06-07Turffontein?5th4th+1
2026-05-21Vaal?11th11th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0221/056/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20263rd16/116%83%+0.68
14/03/202614th15/261%7%-0.53
23/04/20266th11/142%50%+0.08
21/05/202611th9/153%33%-0.19
07/06/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
29/06/202610th100/10%10%+0.10
06/08/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
19/08/202611th25/10%9%+0.09
17/09/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71