1
Plumbago Park
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 46
Vaal · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-23 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 10/02/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 14/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |