7
Surreal Song
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 47
Vaal · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |