3
Time To Fire
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 72
Vaal · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 100/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |