6
Ushouldbedancing
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 44
Vaal · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 2nd | +6 |
| 2026-04-12 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -17.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/04/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |