10
Big Unit
6yo Gelding · 7-12 · OR 55
Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-04-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 25/01/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 16/04/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 64% | -0.26 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |