3
Fire 'n Flames
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 75
Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 19th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/01/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |