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9

Future Gamble

4yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 79

Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3 wins from 6 runs this year. Good third of 8 in handicap (33/20) at Turffontein (9.9f, good). Off 112 days. Back down in trip. First run for yard after leaving J. Crawford. Has to be taken seriously.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 12825/10C8C8 @ Kenilworth 19/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 128C8 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 12817/12C8C8 @ Turffontein 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1325/03C8C8 @ Vaal 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C7 @ Turffontein 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 12519/04C7C6 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 118C5 @ Turffontein 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 11811/06C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Turffontein?3rd4th−1
2026-05-16Turffontein?1st3rd−1
2026-04-19Turffontein?1st4th−2
2026-03-31Vaal?1st5th−4
2026-03-05Vaal?2nd6th−4
2026-02-19Turffontein?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1019/0219/0411/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20259th16/116%38%+0.23
19/11/20258th14/126%30%+0.04
17/12/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
19/02/20262nd15/890%88%-0.03
05/03/20262nd11/893%91%-0.02
31/03/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
19/04/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
16/05/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
11/06/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21