5
Open Highway
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 93
Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |