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Secret Chord

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 95

Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 14/1, didn't need to improve to win 9-runner minor event at Turffontein (7.2f, good) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vaal 22/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13122/01C5C5 @ Turffontein 12/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Sft 130C5 @ Vaal 28/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12328/03C5C5 @ Turffontein 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 128C5 @ Turffontein 14/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 12714/06C5C6 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 136C5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12719/08C5C5 @ Turffontein 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 129C5 @ Turffontein 19/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 12819/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Turffontein?1st1st0
2026-09-05Turffontein?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-19Vaal?1st2nd−1
2026-07-11Turffontein?9th11th−1
2026-06-14Turffontein?14th15th−1
2026-04-30Turffontein?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0130/0419/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
12/03/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
28/03/202611th28/10%17%+0.17
30/04/20264th40/10%70%+0.70
14/06/202614th40/10%0%0.00
11/07/20269th22/10%33%+0.33
19/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
05/09/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
19/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63