7
Wayne
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 81
Vaal · Betway Spring Challenge Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Middle Stakes · 7f 101y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 56% | -0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 19/09/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |