1
Mount Etna
6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 65
Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |