3
Sikeloi
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 37
Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |