9

Sword Of Light

4yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 63

Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 11-runner maiden at this C&D (good to soft, 15/10) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 11911/09C8C8 @ Vaal 25/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 12625/09C8C8 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 1269/07C8C8 @ Vaal 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 1266/08C8C8 @ Vaal 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13227/08C8C8 @ Turffontein 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m209y GS 1325/09C8C8 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13217/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?1st3rd−2
2026-09-05Turffontein?2nd4th−2
2026-08-27Vaal?2nd4th−2
2026-08-06Vaal?3rd5th−2
2026-07-09Turffontein?7th9th−2
2025-09-25Vaal?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/096/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20253rd8/158%71%+0.14
25/09/20256th4/596%44%-0.51
09/07/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
06/08/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
27/08/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
05/09/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06
17/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07