2
Top Shelf Teddy
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 75
Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |