7
Winter Wedding
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59
Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-11-13 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-14 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 09/10/2025 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |