10
Xtatic
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 56
Vaal · Betway Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength93%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 27/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |