14

Commander Of All

6yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 49

Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 12-runner handicap (16/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 14 days ago by length from Spy Story.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turffontein 30/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 11530/04C7C7 @ Turffontein 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f46y GS 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m209y 12226/05C7C7 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122C7 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS11/07C7C7 @ Turffontein 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 115C7 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS19/08C7C5 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11817/09C7projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?1st2nd−0
2026-09-12Turffontein?7th5th+2
2026-08-19Vaal?6th6th+0
2026-08-01Turffontein?9th9th−0
2026-07-11Turffontein?9th9th+0
2026-06-25Vaal?7th8th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0425/0619/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20269th18/15%0%-0.05
07/05/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
26/05/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
25/06/20267th6/168%45%-0.23
11/07/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
01/08/20269th28/10%20%+0.20
19/08/20266th40/10%62%+0.62
12/09/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
17/09/20261st14/126%100%+0.74