5
Legendary
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 56
Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 31/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/06/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |