4
Noble Saint
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 77
Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |