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7

Pearl In Her Crown

5yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 59

Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win at Turffontein in July. 33/1, respectable fourth of 8 in minor event at Turffontein (7.2f, good) 12 days ago. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vaal 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/05C5C6 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS4/06C6C6 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS16/07C7C7 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS8/08C6C7 @ Vaal 03/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/09C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Turffontein?4th2nd+2
2026-09-03Vaal?8th8th+0
2026-08-08Turffontein?7th6th+1
2026-07-30Vaal?8th8th+0
2026-07-16Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-07-02Vaal?2nd2nd+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/052/078/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
21/05/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
04/06/20269th14/126%38%+0.12
02/07/20262nd20/10%88%+0.88
16/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
30/07/20268th18/15%42%+0.36
08/08/20267th16/116%33%+0.18
03/09/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
19/09/20264th22/10%57%+0.57