1

Salute The Flag

6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 79

Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 8-runner handicap at this course (6f, good to soft, 18/10) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turffontein 09/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS9/11C6C6 @ Turffontein 30/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 27/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/01C6C5 @ Turffontein 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 118 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 110 · HIGHER CLASS12/04C5C6 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS11/07C6C5 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13417/09C7projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?1st1st−0
2026-08-19Vaal?4th2nd+1
2026-07-11Turffontein?6th5th+1
2026-05-28Vaal?10th10th+0
2026-04-12Turffontein?3rd1st+2
2026-02-14Turffontein?8th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1114/0211/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20259th50/10%11%+0.11
30/12/20252nd14/126%88%+0.61
27/01/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
14/02/20268th8/158%30%-0.28
12/04/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
28/05/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
11/07/20266th16/116%58%+0.43
19/08/20264th15/261%25%-0.36
17/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09