12
Silver Comet
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 67
Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |