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Winds Of Grace

5yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 70

Vaal · Next Vaal Racemeeting Thursday 8 October Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Latest win at Turffontein in June. Creditable second of 5 in handicap at this C&D (good, 7/1) 9 days ago. Rejoined yard after leaving M.G.Azzie.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turffontein 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS19/02C6C7 @ Turffontein 19/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 132C6 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS2/04C6C7 @ Turffontein 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C6 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS4/06C6C6 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS25/07C7C6 @ Turffontein 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f101y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 22/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS22/09C6projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Vaal?2nd1st+1
2026-09-05Turffontein?5th5th+0
2026-07-25Turffontein?8th8th+0
2026-06-25Vaal?3rd3rd+0
2026-06-04Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-04-30Turffontein?4th4th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0230/0425/0722/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
19/03/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07
02/04/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08
30/04/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
04/06/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
25/06/20263rd6/492%78%-0.14
25/07/20268th4/596%22%-0.74
05/09/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
22/09/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04